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Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568388
01/09/15 06:11 AM
01/09/15 06:11 AM
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LightningLockey Offline

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I will bet that the game will get just over the 1.5mil mark. Of course that is if it remains on course now.

If Larian hits the campaign trail like last time in the 2nd half, I can see $2mil. Especially if they sit down and do some live streams Q and A Twitch sessions.

29 days to go and only needing $400k for the last stretch goal.

If they get more then 2.5mil I'll be really surprised. Though I do like being surprised with good news smile


Every time there I run into trouble on the road, there is always a dwarf at the bottom of it. Don't they know how to drive above ground?
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568404
01/09/15 12:51 PM
01/09/15 12:51 PM
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ka1man Offline
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I believe 2.5m are absolutely possible.

I don't think we're going to make more than that, but I'd be very surprised if it ends up significantly lower.

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568407
01/09/15 01:59 PM
01/09/15 01:59 PM
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somewhere over the rainbow
Chaotica Offline

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2.5m is a shitload of money.
We cannot expect as much money in the upcomming days as they got the 4 firsts days. Truly I don't expect them to raise that much money in the 25 next days. However, some last minutes backers should pledge in the last 5 days as usual but they should not bring in as much money a in the 4 firsts days...
so wait and see. I am confident in my 1.8M guess^^


"-Oh that's fullmoon, cuttie cuttie sheep
-baaaaaaOOOOORGH"
***Sprotch***

Weresheeps will rule the world (At least one night every 29 days)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568420
01/09/15 08:54 PM
01/09/15 08:54 PM
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LightningLockey Offline

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Up to $1,110,000. Keep in mind that kickstarter takes a 10% cut so Larian actually now has $1mil to fund improvements in the game. This figure is what Swen put out in his blog during the D:OS Kickstarter.


...oh don't you worry. He'll be a number crunching and putting out those graphs. Sometimes I look forward to his blog updates more then an actual game update!

Last edited by LightningLockey; 01/09/15 08:54 PM.

Every time there I run into trouble on the road, there is always a dwarf at the bottom of it. Don't they know how to drive above ground?
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568428
02/09/15 07:07 AM
02/09/15 07:07 AM
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4verse Offline

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but the KS-cut is not taken into account when considering stretch Goals, is it?


"I don't make games to make money, I make money to make games". ( (c) Swen Vincke via (maybe Not-)Devin @ Kickstarter)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568429
02/09/15 07:35 AM
02/09/15 07:35 AM
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Canada
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No, it isn't.

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568430
02/09/15 08:19 AM
02/09/15 08:19 AM
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4verse Offline

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thought so hehe


"I don't make games to make money, I make money to make games". ( (c) Swen Vincke via (maybe Not-)Devin @ Kickstarter)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: 4verse] #568432
02/09/15 08:42 AM
02/09/15 08:42 AM
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gbnf Offline
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Originally Posted By: 4verse
thought so hehe


Can you imagine the horrible math if it went off any potential kickstarter percentages? Frankly I am lost after 20 on any scale. Seriously how do you people do numbers after you run out of fingers & toes?!?

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: gbnf] #568434
02/09/15 09:07 AM
02/09/15 09:07 AM
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4verse Offline

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Originally Posted By: gbnf
Originally Posted By: 4verse
thought so hehe


Can you imagine the horrible math if it went off any potential kickstarter percentages? Frankly I am lost after 20 on any scale. Seriously how do you people do numbers after you run out of fingers & toes?!?


it depends on how kickstarter calcs its cut, but in the simplest case it would be

[summed kickstarter pledges so far] * 0.9 = sum to be taken for stretch goals


"I don't make games to make money, I make money to make games". ( (c) Swen Vincke via (maybe Not-)Devin @ Kickstarter)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: LightningLockey] #568460
02/09/15 08:12 PM
02/09/15 08:12 PM
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deathmachinept Offline OP
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Originally Posted By: LightningLockey
I will bet that the game will get just over the 1.5mil mark. Of course that is if it remains on course now.
If Larian hits the campaign trail like last time in the 2nd half, I can see $2mil. Especially if they sit down and do some live streams Q and A Twitch sessions.
29 days to go and only needing $400k for the last stretch goal.
If they get more then 2.5mil I'll be really surprised. Though I do like being surprised with good news smile


Seems like it after the stretch goals were announce and seeing already a 23% increase of backers compared to the first one when still 27 days to go and taking taking to dip under the 10k daily raises..

What will be interesting will be seeing the final days and see how much last minute backers will raise this is the most thing difficult thing to predict.

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568469
02/09/15 10:13 PM
02/09/15 10:13 PM
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LightningLockey Offline

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Well as of now...27 days to go!

25,531
backers
$1,157,637
pledged of $500,000 goal

That averages out to $45.34 per person. $40.81 profit per backer after KS cut.

The game will be worth at least $50-60 per copy.

$342,363 left to go.

If each backer-to-be would spend $45.34 (the average) each, then it would take about 7551 more backers to reach 1.5mil. Quite a bit to go yet.

They would get very close if they would sell out of the Physical Collector's Edition.

Last edited by LightningLockey; 02/09/15 10:22 PM.

Every time there I run into trouble on the road, there is always a dwarf at the bottom of it. Don't they know how to drive above ground?
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568500
03/09/15 06:16 AM
03/09/15 06:16 AM
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4verse Offline

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new tiers inc.
that may attract new backers as well


"I don't make games to make money, I make money to make games". ( (c) Swen Vincke via (maybe Not-)Devin @ Kickstarter)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568518
03/09/15 02:44 PM
03/09/15 02:44 PM
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somewhere over the rainbow
Chaotica Offline

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yeah I am really curious about the new tiers, there is serious a lack available tiers between 200$ and 700$ :p


"-Oh that's fullmoon, cuttie cuttie sheep
-baaaaaaOOOOORGH"
***Sprotch***

Weresheeps will rule the world (At least one night every 29 days)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568551
04/09/15 06:57 AM
04/09/15 06:57 AM
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LightningLockey Offline

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26,320
backers
$1,192,825
pledged of $500,000 goal

Looks like Undead Lore will be unlocked.


Every time there I run into trouble on the road, there is always a dwarf at the bottom of it. Don't they know how to drive above ground?
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568563
04/09/15 01:59 PM
04/09/15 01:59 PM
Joined: Aug 2015
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Quebec, Canada
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norD Offline
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400 bucks to go laugh
Let's all be undead

AND DONE

Last edited by norD; 04/09/15 02:36 PM.
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568757
07/09/15 09:33 PM
07/09/15 09:33 PM
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Posts: 891
LightningLockey Offline

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Well if the remaining backers average $40, then at 33667 total backers we should get the last stretch goal.

Little over 3 weeks to go... I wonder how close I'll get to my estimate.


Every time there I run into trouble on the road, there is always a dwarf at the bottom of it. Don't they know how to drive above ground?
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: eRe4s3r] #568770
08/09/15 05:28 AM
08/09/15 05:28 AM
Joined: Jun 2014
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Apocalypse Offline
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Originally Posted By: eRe4s3r
The current low in progression is probably because a lack of actual updates regarding some raised questions that keep people who care about those questions from backing D:OS 2... (SP, Paypal and Chris Avellone)

I would peg this KS currently even lower, at about 1.7m

It's in Larians hands...


Wait a second, someone wants to have Chris Avellone as stretch goal yet again even when he is not related at all the the franchise?

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #568779
08/09/15 10:57 AM
08/09/15 10:57 AM
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4verse Offline

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they are planning add ons - that might raise the total sum since existing backers will pledge more


"I don't make games to make money, I make money to make games". ( (c) Swen Vincke via (maybe Not-)Devin @ Kickstarter)
Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: Apocalypse] #568793
08/09/15 07:37 PM
08/09/15 07:37 PM
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eRe4s3r Offline

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Originally Posted By: Apocalypse
Originally Posted By: eRe4s3r
The current low in progression is probably because a lack of actual updates regarding some raised questions that keep people who care about those questions from backing D:OS 2... (SP, Paypal and Chris Avellone)

I would peg this KS currently even lower, at about 1.7m

It's in Larians hands...


Wait a second, someone wants to have Chris Avellone as stretch goal yet again even when he is not related at all the the franchise?


Well there are a lot of PoE Backers who would back anything as long as he is attached to it. Personally I just think it'd be nice to have someone in writing capacity that actually knows how RPG characters and their backstory/quests are written without them becoming caricatures of character stereotypes. ^^

Re: Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS [Re: deathmachinept] #569122
15/09/15 10:24 PM
15/09/15 10:24 PM
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Posts: 565
somewhere over the rainbow
Chaotica Offline

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well well 14 days to go, 1 451k so far my guess is still valid... it will depend on the last days ^^


"-Oh that's fullmoon, cuttie cuttie sheep
-baaaaaaOOOOORGH"
***Sprotch***

Weresheeps will rule the world (At least one night every 29 days)
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