In previous playthroughs I've been able to save Rugan and Ollie, make a deal with them to "lose" the shipment and sell it to a fence in Baldur's Gate; then go to the Zhent hideout and agree to deliver the shipment as long as I kill Rugan first for selling out the Zhentarim. In Patch 9 no matter what options I choose, or checks I pass, I only get the "I won't do that" response which instantly triggers combat with all the Zhents.