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It’s been said elsewhere but I’ll say it here: if Swen doesn’t collect all awards while wearing full plate armor, we riot.


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IGN posted an article called “Baldur’s Gate 3 Is Proof That We’re In a Golden Age for RPGs”(https://www.ign.com/articles/baldurs-gate-3-is-proof-that-were-in-a-golden-age-for-rpgs).

I hope it is!!! celebrate

From the article:
Quote
Circana analyst Mat Piscatella notes that most CRPGs, even big successes like Divinity Original Sin 2, have to work hard to crack the list of the Top 50 best-selling games.

“Clearly, Baldur’s Gate 3 has broken into the mainstream in a way that no other CRPG recently has. Even when titles like Baldur’s Gate 2, Fallout and Neverwinter Nights were a bigger part of the gaming landscape I'm not sure we saw a breakout quite like this (at least so far),” Piscatella told me over email. “But given the expansion of the video game market since then, and how popular other genres have become, it's refreshing to see a game like this get this kind of adoption and play.”

Last edited by Icelyn; 15/08/23 03:45 PM.
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Sales have to be huge. This game is STILL on top of global charts on Steam.

Reviews are not stopping. 34 reviews in and it's not going below 97 on Metacritic.

If I had to guess based on the very poor data out there, the sales are around the following numbers:

5.2M units sold, per video game insights.

10M+ units sold, per steamspy.

I think 5.2 works as a lower bound, given the game sold 2.5M units in early access, so only a few million to achieve it while being on top of the global charts. The 10M+ is harder to believe, so its works as an upper bound. But who knows, maybe 10-20M is a good guess.


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Without Starfield on PS5, BG3 will have a great boost in sales numbers.

P.S: who knows precisely how many copies of the game have been sold? Only Larian and Steam or also other organizations ?

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Originally Posted by Palatinus
Without Starfield on PS5, BG3 will have a great boost in sales numbers.

P.S: who knows precisely how many copies of the game have been sold? Only Larian and Steam or also other organizations ?
Atm only Larian, and probably not even everyone at Larian. Their accountants and leads probably know to the exact number.


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Yea and everyone is saying that third act is crap. The ending is crap. Cut content from all acts (if you played EA). Spells pointless due to over powerful itemization. Later Quests pointless because too much XP up too act 2. And the choices are irrelevant by the end.
I really hope reviewers take a good long and hard look at that last chapter. And that Larian fixes it.

Its the typical Larian end game curse.

Long live the king, BG2. As a complete package it is just untouchable.
I gather, Larian did make one of the greatest approachable D&D game! But a pretty meeeeh Baldur's Gate game.

EA, never again.

Last edited by Count Turnipsome; 16/08/23 01:54 PM.

It just reminded me of the bowl of goat's milk that old Winthrop used to put outside his door every evening for the dust demons. He said the dust demons could never resist goat's milk, and that they would always drink themselves into a stupor and then be too tired to enter his room..
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Originally Posted by Icelyn
IGN posted an article called “Baldur’s Gate 3 Is Proof That We’re In a Golden Age for RPGs”(https://www.ign.com/articles/baldurs-gate-3-is-proof-that-were-in-a-golden-age-for-rpgs).
Thanks for the link!

I found the truest line in the article to be (in speaking about RPGs yet to be released): "... the best is yet to come."

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Originally Posted by kanisatha
Originally Posted by Icelyn
IGN posted an article called “Baldur’s Gate 3 Is Proof That We’re In a Golden Age for RPGs”(https://www.ign.com/articles/baldurs-gate-3-is-proof-that-were-in-a-golden-age-for-rpgs).
Thanks for the link!

I found the truest line in the article to be (in speaking about RPGs yet to be released): "... the best is yet to come."

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Okay, so video game insights is likely the better source for sales data on Steam then Steamspy then.

Steam spy has the number of owners between 20 and 50 million.

VGI has it at around 6 million.


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Originally Posted by Icelyn
IGN posted an article called “Baldur’s Gate 3 Is Proof That We’re In a Golden Age for RPGs”(https://www.ign.com/articles/baldurs-gate-3-is-proof-that-were-in-a-golden-age-for-rpgs).

I hope it is!!! celebrate

From the article:
Quote
Circana analyst Mat Piscatella notes that most CRPGs, even big successes like Divinity Original Sin 2, have to work hard to crack the list of the Top 50 best-selling games.

“Clearly, Baldur’s Gate 3 has broken into the mainstream in a way that no other CRPG recently has. Even when titles like Baldur’s Gate 2, Fallout and Neverwinter Nights were a bigger part of the gaming landscape I'm not sure we saw a breakout quite like this (at least so far),” Piscatella told me over email. “But given the expansion of the video game market since then, and how popular other genres have become, it's refreshing to see a game like this get this kind of adoption and play.”

Sorry to be a Debbie Downer, but no it isn't. You know, I know, and everyone here knows that not one single AAA developer is ever going to make a game like this, and even if for the benefit of doubt they do, it will be loaded with MTX, DRM, always online connection required to play etc.

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Based on interviews with Swen, or as I like to call them, Sventerviews, DOS1 sold around 2.5M, DOS2 sold around 3x that amount over its lifetime, so 7.5M. I think we could easily see BG3 hit those numbers by the end of the month at best, and by the end of the year at worst.

Now I don’t think BG3 will hit 3x the numbers of DOS2. I don’t think the market for this game is that big. But I do think it could easily hit a lifetime of 2x DOS2, or around 15M. This game is hitting around 6M in sales in its first two weeks, but that’s also including EA. Assuming diminishing returns as time goes on, I think 15M is the right lifetime Steam estimate, or around 900M USD in revenue.


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Some first insight about Steam sales:
DSOGaming.com

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Originally Posted by Zerubbabel
Based on interviews with Swen, or as I like to call them, Sventerviews, DOS1 sold around 2.5M, DOS2 sold around 3x that amount over its lifetime, so 7.5M. I think we could easily see BG3 hit those numbers by the end of the month at best, and by the end of the year at worst.

Now I don’t think BG3 will hit 3x the numbers of DOS2. I don’t think the market for this game is that big. But I do think it could easily hit a lifetime of 2x DOS2, or around 15M. This game is hitting around 6M in sales in its first two weeks, but that’s also including EA. Assuming diminishing returns as time goes on, I think 15M is the right lifetime Steam estimate, or around 900M USD in revenue.
Update: Armored Core has taken out BG3 and sales seem to be slowing down. I expect Starfield to thrash the charts and media cycle soon. Moving up the release date was a smart move in the long run. Expect BG3 to hit DOS2’s lifetime sales by the end of this month, and definitely before end of next month. Expect 12M lifetime sales minimum.

Dust has settled on metacritic: 96. This game is a modern classic, if flawed at certain junctions. What Larian has made here deserves to be applauded. On the other hand, if we collectively gaslight Larian into thinking the game is garbage and needs more work, maybe we can trick them into giving us more free content.


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Originally Posted by Zerubbabel
Originally Posted by Zerubbabel
Based on interviews with Swen, or as I like to call them, Sventerviews, DOS1 sold around 2.5M, DOS2 sold around 3x that amount over its lifetime, so 7.5M. I think we could easily see BG3 hit those numbers by the end of the month at best, and by the end of the year at worst.

Now I don’t think BG3 will hit 3x the numbers of DOS2. I don’t think the market for this game is that big. But I do think it could easily hit a lifetime of 2x DOS2, or around 15M. This game is hitting around 6M in sales in its first two weeks, but that’s also including EA. Assuming diminishing returns as time goes on, I think 15M is the right lifetime Steam estimate, or around 900M USD in revenue.
Update: Armored Core has taken out BG3 and sales seem to be slowing down. I expect Starfield to thrash the charts and media cycle soon. Moving up the release date was a smart move in the long run. Expect BG3 to hit DOS2’s lifetime sales by the end of this month, and definitely before end of next month. Expect 12M lifetime sales minimum.

Dust has settled on metacritic: 96. This game is a modern classic, if flawed at certain junctions. What Larian has made here deserves to be applauded. On the other hand, if we collectively gaslight Larian into thinking the game is garbage and needs more work, maybe we can trick them into giving us more free content.

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The game officially hit Overwhelmingly Positive reviews on Steam today, so congrats to Larian! laezelapprove shadowheartgiggle

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Bg3 went from a top ten rated game to merely a top 30 rated gane. It also got outsold by d4, and just got trashed in the charts by a series I barely heard of on its 6th game. Lol Falling out if favor.

Bg3 is a good game, but overrated. Still better than that garbage D4 thiugh that's a low bar to pass.

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Originally Posted by Volourn
Bg3 went from a top ten rated game to merely a top 30 rated gane. It also got outsold by d4, and just got trashed in the charts by a series I barely heard of on its 6th game. Lol Falling out if favor.

Bg3 is a good game, but overrated. Still better than that garbage D4 thiugh that's a low bar to pass.

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Originally Posted by Volourn
Bg3 went from a top ten rated game to merely a top 30 rated gane. It also got outsold by d4, and just got trashed in the charts by a series I barely heard of on its 6th game. Lol Falling out if favor.

Bg3 is a good game, but overrated. Still better than that garbage D4 thiugh that's a low bar to pass.

It's still ranked no. 6 on Metacritic best PC games of all time. I'd say not bad... not bad at all.

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Originally Posted by Boblawblah
Originally Posted by Volourn
Bg3 went from a top ten rated game to merely a top 30 rated gane. It also got outsold by d4, and just got trashed in the charts by a series I barely heard of on its 6th game. Lol Falling out if favor.

Bg3 is a good game, but overrated. Still better than that garbage D4 thiugh that's a low bar to pass.

[Linked Image from media.tenor.com]
Armored Core… from the studio behind ELDEN RING. Just a barely heard of studio, nbd.

Diablo 4… from Blizzard, just a small time no name indie studio.

It’s still number 3 on global charts behind CSGO and Armored Core lmao


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