Larian Studios Forums Baldur's Gate III Baldur's Gate III - Technical & Gameplay Problems Percentage to hit inaccurate [proof]

I have seen this posted in a few ways.
But I wanted to reinforce because some people are brushing it off as "random dice"
Here is the proof. 96% chance to hit, I miss when rolling a 4.
Not saying the dice are rigged, only that the display % is certainly wrong.
Firstly, only a few ways any d20 percentage would be a multiple of 5.
Please remove these percentages and show what dice roll is actually needed.


http://peasantbox.com/BG3numbers.png

No great weapon reroll feat in play here, just a single d20 roll.

I'm not sure what exactly you are trying to argue here.

First off I totally agree the percentage thing confuses things here. Also apologies if this sounds like I am talking down to you or being patronising. This is not my intent whatsoever. I am just trying to clarify things from my own understanding.

I am not sure how they work out the whole percentage thing. It 'may' be similar to how we convert fractions to percentages(I don't really know). But, from what I can see in your picture you needed to roll a total of at least 11(based on the AC) to actually hit them. In the breakdown you only rolled a total of 10 so rightly so that would 'miss' an AC of 11.

The maths(at its most basic) would be you need to roll a natural 5 minimum to hit. This would mean you have a 15/20 chance to hit(or 75% chance). But because you have advantage you get to roll twice. So this would obviously push the chance to hit up. I don't know what the percentage would be(my maths knowledge isn't that good sorry) but obviously higher than 75%. I am guessing the game only showed the higher roll for some reason(the l;ower roll being redundant).

I hope this helps.

Thank you

I see in your explanation that "advantage" allows two rolls?
if that's true then I very misunderstood the mechanic. this is my first 5e

Still seems the statistic is slightly off. let see...

if I have a 25% chance of missing and two rolls
by my maths that is 6.25% chance to miss (anyone good with maths?)

so a 93.75% chance to hit?
that is a lot closer to the displayed 96%

anything else that could be coming into play?