Larian Studios Forums Divinity: Original Sin 2 Divinity - Original Sin 2 - General Place you bets on total that will be raised on KS

My bet is on $1.45mil :P

23p!

I must admit I've absolutely no idea where it'll end up. I'm stunned that it was funded in just 12 hours.

Can we specify a random currency just to make it more interesting? Preferably including currencies that aren't, well, current.

LoL how could we then compared in the end but them on USD then add the conversion to currency you want.

I knew it would be raised in 24h they did a successful KS and really took care of the fanbase really well with good comms. But It's a total guess in how many more new founders they will bring to the KS campaign.

Based on PoE and Wastelands 2 fundings, combined with D:OS's success minus the decrease of Kickstarter raised funds for games that's been going on for a while...

I estimate a 3 million ending figure.

I'll bet for 2.5M

it MUST be at least 1.2m b/c i WANT that undead race and SHOULD be at least 1.5m b/c i actually want EVERYTHING

actually raised my pledge just to get those undead walking!

It will be interesting seeing total it will end up raising, D:OS had 19500 backers D:OS II has already ~19500 so you can't say for now how many of those are the previous backers and those who are new backers.

The average pledge is slightly lower, I guess it reflects how you seem to be paying for less rewards per pledge and no boxed games except for the 125$ which is 30$ more expensive that before.

If they released enhanced edition about mid campaign maybe get AJ to do an Angry Review plus the extra buzz from the past successful KS campaign they might go over 2mil but still think 3mil is a bit far fetch.

Swen told october for EE.
Campaign will end at the start of october.

2.5M to 3M I say, If it's more it will be incredible to see.

I bet 2M. Unless the Chris Avellone stretch goal is at a higher level, and then it will be at that level.

I agree with Kevinik on the guess (2.5-3M), and that more would be better. I was a little conservative hoping the D:OS kickstarter would reach the 800K stretch goal, so I'll be optimistic this time.

According to Kicktraq it's now trending towards 10 million. LOL Obviously that's not going to happen, but that would be *hilarious*. I'm keeping my fingers crossed, that would just be epic.

that would be kickass to hit the Hall of the Echoes stretch goal but that is really a shitload of money...
let's be optimistic, I bet on 1.8M

Did some calculations

Took some (IMO) comparable projects and tried to forecast DOS2 (actually I derive a pattern based on moving averages of past kickstarters (partly extrapolated due to different durations) and used polynomial trend model on DOS2). I did this in about 1 hour, so statistically not very sophisticated, but lets see, if I will be right



edit: redone - better data/adjusted

I dunno, 2 mil? But I hope their swimming in it when EE is released for the consoles.

remember, its a forecast. id est: "better guessing". so, if DOS2 kickstarter resembles the pattern of the average of some other kickstarter there is some likeness that we will see 2mill at the end. nothing more nothing less.

I'm guessing 1.9M.

Also relying on past game kickstarters can be misleading because repeat kickstarters can be more front-loaded - e.g. see Bard's Tale IV which made 1M in day 3 but ended up with 1.5M. I'd guess all the gamers who are interested in backing on Kickstarters tend to already know about it and back on the first week, and relatively little happens later on (at least compared to previous years when it was new). I'd love to be wrong though because I like all the stretch-goals so far!

The current low in progression is probably because a lack of actual updates regarding some raised questions that keep people who care about those questions from backing D:OS 2... (SP, Paypal and Chris Avellone)

I would peg this KS currently even lower, at about 1.7m

It's in Larians hands...

1.5 mil

The steep drop I expected - fits my (or rather multiple other kickstarter's) pattern quite well. So, in my terms still on track