The reason why i am waiting so urgent for BG 3 is the fact that Larian is making it, and Larian is probably my favourite game developer.
That's perfectly fine. Everybody has their favorites. But from Larian's pov, if they are aiming only to please just the existing Larian fanbase and nobody else, the game - as a AAA game - will be a flop. They need to be able to appeal to people like me, people who don't care for any game Larian has previously made.
At a +100 hours no way is BG3 a ARPG
Why? Skyrim, DA:I, and Witcher 3 are all in the 100+ hrs range and are all very clearly in the AAA ARPG genre.
If its sells as well as DOS2 +50% I suspect they will make a profit. Also note they have studios in nations where the exchange rate makes larger work forces cheaper.
Not if it's a AAA game. Not even close. They'll need minimum 10 million in sales, which is WAY beyond what D:OS2 sold.