After 60+ hours of played time across many classes, I've found that to never be the case and the hit rates are accurate.
Agreed. Whilst I wouldn't completely rule out an issue with the RNG (this being Early Access and all) --
there is absolutely nothing obvious going on with that in the way people make it sound.
The majority of these threads can be explained with confirmation bias plus what Tim Cain of Fallout fame says here (sorry for always linking that, this is a must watch for anybody, maybe even Larian's own QA / playtesters).