So, is there something obviously wrong with ADVANTAGE then?

Took my shitty elven fighter again and always had her run behind the enemy for advantage. This means her 75% melee attack from the last page turned into a 94% one -- which is also calculated correctly, btw
https://statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2014/07/12/dnd-5e-advantage-disadvantage-probability/

Remember that the question marks are from hits that rolled no damage -- the game doesn't display the attack rolls from no-damage rolls. This is a shitty fighter with no bonus on her attack and damage rolls, but a -1 penalty from her 8 Strength, so that actually happens from time to time (in particular against opposition with resistance such as here).

16 hit
13 hit
? hit
9 hit
19 hit
16 hit
16 hit
9 hit
20 critical hit
20 critical hit
------------------------
3 miss
3 miss
3 miss eekWHAT PEOPLE MOST DEFINITELY REMEMBER laugh
5 miss
------------------------
? hit
15 hit
18 hit
13 hit
15 hit
16 hit
12 hit
? hit
? hit
11 hit
11 hit
13 hit
13 hit
? hit
? hit
12 hit
13 hit
18 hit
20 critical hit
? hit
18 hit
? hit
7 hit
11 hit
7 hit
13 hit
17 hit
17 hit
12 hit
18 hit
2 miss
? hit
16 hit
? hit
15 hit
17 hit


TOTAL ROLLS: 50
TOTAL HITS: 45
TOTAL HIT RATIO: 90%


I was actually lucky in that I got one bad streak with really long odds in there. This meant that we finished actually below the expected 94% -- but as you can anticipate, the more rolls, the closer to the 94% you'd be getting.

Last edited by Sven_; 21/10/20 05:41 AM.