There's one segment in TyPinOwly's hit charts at the moment that look suspicious, the 90-95% range. So I've increased my sample size for this one and went with a 90% chance. Made a Gyth fighter with an overall attack bonus of +4, and let her melee attack the AC 7 opposition. That's a 90% chance precisely, as she needed to roll at least a 3. This is no cherry picking, I was fortunate enough to be able to explain some of the human psychology at work again. The expectation would be 1 miss in every 10 hits, after all.
19 hit 13 hit 16 hit 18 hit 13 hit 13 hit 1 critical miss* 13 hit 13 hit 15 hit 12 hit 15 hit 17 hit 10 hit 18 hit 18 hit 20 critical hit 17 hit 18 hit 9 hit 8 hit 10 hit 18 hit 1 critical miss* 5 hit 18 hit 9 hit 4 hit 18 hit 9 hit 6 hit 16 hit 3 hit 2 miss* 19 hit 5 hit 7 hit 14 hit 2 miss* 15 hit 5 hit 16 hit 14 hit 11 hit 3 hit 5 hit --------------------------- 1 critical miss* 1 critical miss* 2 miss* 9 hit 6 hit 2 miss* 1 critical miss* WHAT PEOPLE WILL REMEMBER 2 miss* 12 hit 13 hit 13 hit 1 critical miss* 12 hit 1 critical miss* -------------------------- 16 hit 9 hit 18 hit 15 hit 16 hit 9 hit 11 hit 11 hit 11 hit 10 hit 9 hit 8 hit 12 hit 13 hit 15 hit 19 hit 3 hit 15 hit 40 HITS IN A ROW, WHAT PEOPLE WON'T REMEMBER 17 hit 6 hit 6 hit 11 hit 9 hit 7 hit 18 hit 14 hit 14 hit 14 hit 13 hit 14 hit 11 hit 17 hit 16 hit 10 hit 13 hit 10 hit 5 hit 8 hit 18 hit 7 hit -------------
OVERALL ROLLS: 100 AVERAGE ROLL: 10.85 (EXPECTED 10.5) TOTAL HITS: 88 TOTAL HITS RATIO: 88% (EXPECTED 90)
