There's one segment in TyPinOwly's hit charts at the moment that look suspicious, the 90-95% range. So I've increased my sample size for this one and went with a 90% chance. Made a Gyth fighter with an overall attack bonus of +4, and let her melee attack the AC 7 opposition. That's a 90% chance precisely, as she needed to roll at least a 3. This is no cherry picking, I was fortunate enough to be able to explain some of the human psychology at work again. The expectation would be 1 miss in every 10 hits, after all.

19 hit
13 hit
16 hit
18 hit
13 hit
13 hit
1 critical miss*
13 hit
13 hit
15 hit
12 hit
15 hit
17 hit
10 hit
18 hit
18 hit
20 critical hit
17 hit
18 hit
9 hit
8 hit
10 hit
18 hit
1 critical miss*
5 hit
18 hit
9 hit
4 hit
18 hit
9 hit
6 hit
16 hit
3 hit
2 miss*
19 hit
5 hit
7 hit
14 hit
2 miss*
15 hit
5 hit
16 hit
14 hit
11 hit
3 hit
5 hit
---------------------------
1 critical miss*
1 critical miss*
2 miss*
9 hit
6 hit
2 miss*
1 critical miss* WHAT PEOPLE WILL REMEMBER
2 miss*
12 hit
13 hit
13 hit
1 critical miss*
12 hit
1 critical miss*
--------------------------
16 hit
9 hit
18 hit
15 hit
16 hit
9 hit
11 hit
11 hit
11 hit
10 hit
9 hit
8 hit
12 hit
13 hit
15 hit
19 hit
3 hit
15 hit 40 HITS IN A ROW, WHAT PEOPLE WON'T REMEMBER
17 hit
6 hit
6 hit
11 hit
9 hit
7 hit
18 hit
14 hit
14 hit
14 hit
13 hit
14 hit
11 hit
17 hit
16 hit
10 hit
13 hit
10 hit
5 hit
8 hit
18 hit
7 hit
-------------


OVERALL ROLLS: 100
AVERAGE ROLL: 10.85 (EXPECTED 10.5)
TOTAL HITS: 88
TOTAL HITS RATIO: 88% (EXPECTED 90)

Last edited by Sven_; 23/10/20 06:58 PM.