Updated my big 55.x% chance project from the last page. https://forums.larian.com/ubbthreads.php?ubb=showflat&Number=714951#Post714951 We're now at 800 rolls. The first exceptionally bad streak remained a bit of a burden, but we're getting there. We've also had our longest streak without misses so far. Especially loved the streaks we'd gotten between rolls 400 and 450. A streak of hits was follwed by a streak of misses was followed by a streak of hits was follwed by a streak of misses.
55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 55% hit 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit ----> first 50: 17 hits, only 34% hits 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 56% hit 56% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56%dw miss 55% hit 55% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit ---> 43 hits of first 100: only 43% hits 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 56% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 56% miss 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss ----> 71 hits of 150, still only 47,33% hits 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 56% hit 97 of 200 hits -> still only 48,5% hits 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 56% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit 56% hit 56% hit 56% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 55% miss 55% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% hit 55% hit ----> 128 hits of 250= 51,2 % 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% hit 55% hit 56% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 55% hit 55% hit 55% miss 55% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% hit 56% hit 55% miss 55% miss 56% hit 55% hit 55% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 56% miss 55% miss 55% miss 55% hit 55% hit 55% miss 56% miss 55% hit 149 hit of 300 = 49.66% hits miss miss hit hit miss hit miss miss hit hit miss miss hit miss miss miss miss miss miss hit hit hit miss hit hit miss miss hit hit miss hit miss miss hit miss miss hit miss hit hit miss miss hit hit hit hit hit hit miss miss ---> 173 of 350 hits = 49.43% hits hit hit miss miss miss hit hit miss hit hit hit miss hit miss hit hit hit hit miss hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit hit hit hit hit miss miss hit hit hit miss miss hit hit miss hit miss hit miss miss miss hit miss miss ---> 204 hits of 400 = 51% miss miss hit miss miss hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit hit miss miss miss miss miss miss miss hit hit hit hit miss miss miss miss hit hit hit hit hit miss miss miss miss miss miss hit miss hit miss hit miss miss hit hit miss ----> 227 hits of 450 -> 50.44 % hit hit hit miss miss hit hit miss miss hit miss hit miss hit hit miss miss miss miss miss hit miss miss miss miss hit miss miss miss hit miss miss miss miss hit miss miss hit hit miss miss miss hit hit miss hit hit miss miss hit -----> 247 hits of 500 -> 49.4% hits hit miss hit hit hit hit miss hit hit miss miss hit miss miss miss miss hit hit hit miss miss hit hit miss hit miss hit hit hit miss hit hit miss hit hit hit hit miss hit miss hit hit miss hit hit hit miss miss hit miss -----> 277 hits of 550 = 50.36% hit hit miss hit hit miss hit hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit miss hit miss miss miss hit miss hit hit hit hit hit hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit miss hit miss hit hit miss hit miss ---> 313 hits of 600 = 52.17% hit hit hit hit hit hit miss miss hit miss miss hit miss miss miss miss miss miss miss miss miss hit hit hit hit miss miss hit hit hit miss hit hit miss miss hit miss miss miss miss hit hit hit miss miss miss hit hit hit hit ----> 338 hits of 650 = 52% miss hit hit hit hit miss hit hit hit hit hit hit miss hit hit hit hit miss hit hit hit miss hit hit hit miss hit miss hit miss miss hit miss hit miss hit hit miss miss hit miss hit miss hit miss hit hit miss hit - hit -> 371 hits of 700 = 53% hit hit miss miss hit hit hit miss hit hit miss hit miss miss hit hit miss hit miss miss hit hit miss hit miss miss hit miss hit miss miss miss hit hit miss hit miss miss miss hit hit miss hit miss hit miss miss miss hit miss 395 hits of 750 = 52.67% miss hit hit miss miss hit hit hit miss hit miss miss hit hit hit hit hit hit hit miss hit hit miss hit hit miss miss hit hit hit hit miss miss hit hit miss miss hit miss hit hit miss miss miss miss hit miss hit hit hit ----> 425 hits of 800 = 53.13%
TOTAL ROLLS: 800 TOTAL HITS: 425 EXPECTED: ~440 HIT RATIO: 53.13% EXPECTED: 55.x%
LONGEST STREAK WITHOUT A HIT: 9 LONGEST STREAK WITHOUT A MISS:9
Will likely continue to the 1,000, so far all looks well within the margins of error.
