In general the scripted camp events are all over the place in EA. In my current playthrough I feel like I've had no "regular" long rests at all and I don't really feel like I know which quests trigger what events anymore.
Raphael is probably the worst offender, because depending on what quests you go for first, he could be busting in right after you've explored the Grove and acts like you've exhausted all your options and that he's your only hope. Which makes it even more frustrating that you can't even accept his offer.