BG3 is certainly trying to be a CRPG in the big RPG box. Whether Larian will succeed or not remains to be seen, but the high sales in Early Access is quite promising.
This is it exactly. But where you see promise, I don't.
I don't see BG3 putting up numbers anywhere near TW3 or Skyrim or CP2077. Even matching DA:I numbers (about 10 million), which are on the low end of RPG sales, will be tough. I only see BG3 being the big (biggest?) fish in the small cRPG pond, and not a big (like TW3/Skyrim/CP2077) fish in the big RPG pond.
Being even the biggest fish in the small cRPG pond does not at all impress me the way being a big fish in the big RPG pond impresses me. Even an RPG like Skyrim, which I personally do not like, still impresses the heck out of me as video games go. And CP2077? The projections are for 21 million in sales in just its first month!! Now *that* is impressive (if it pans out). I used to be an exclusively small cRPG pond fan myself for a long time. But then, a couple of years ago, in the face of a dearth of good small cRPG pond games to play, I very reluctantly decided to give TW3 a try. Best gaming decision I ever made. TW3 is a fantastic RPG. So now I find myself firmly in the big RPG pond because I do not in the future want to miss out on a fantastic game like TW3 by limiting myself to the small cRPG pond anymore.