Originally Posted by pageu
3.a
I did a test, 3x200 hits with different hit chances.
https://www.reddit.com/r/BaldursGate3/comments/kifog9/400_hits_later_numbers_dont_lie/
Numbers and % are accurate.

Yeah, i don't doubt that. I think we as humans simply are crap when it comes to perceiving chances smile

Pathfinder Kingmaker on the other hand is an example for the most odd RNG that I've ever seen. I'm pretty sure it ends up with the correct distribution with very large sample sizes, but I have never before seen games with such long streaks of fails and success when facing 50%... I had 8 out 10 fails on 50%, followed by 8 of of 10 successes on 50% and stuff like that extremely often - at the end of the day its 10 fails vs 10 successes, but its still extremely unlikely to happen nearily all the time with this distribution laugh