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member
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member
Joined: Mar 2021
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Playing again last night my MC tried to lift the burning wood off the guy in the burning Manor House (I forget his name, but I am sure you know the one). I had to make 9 on a d20, failed the first try, and admit just reloaded a save. I am sometimes tempted to do this, but usually resist. However, this time, out of bloody mindedness, I decided to keep reloading until I succeeded. It took me eight attempts (i.e. I failed 7 times).
The probability of this happening, getting a fail 7 times in a row, is (8/20)^7 = 0.0016384 or about 1 in 610. Hmmm The probability of it happening right at this point maybe be fairly low, but this is just when you happened to notice it. The probability of having 7 low rolls in a row at some point is actually fairly good. It would be weird if it didn't happen from time to time. The probability of rolling on a die does not change because you "notice it". The probably of rolling a 20 sided die 7 times and getting a number 8 or lower, is exactly what the poster said. Larian's RNG code is demonstrably broken.
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Entire Thread
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please the truth, dice result really random
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Wolfenring
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28/02/21 08:17 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Maximuuus
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28/02/21 09:29 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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28/02/21 10:24 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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LukasPrism
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28/02/21 10:27 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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01/03/21 07:17 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Vortex138
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01/03/21 06:04 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Tarorn
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01/03/21 04:59 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Pandemonica
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01/03/21 05:21 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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RagnarokCzD
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01/03/21 08:23 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Maximuuus
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01/03/21 11:07 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Zenith
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14/03/21 03:16 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Maximuuus
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01/03/21 06:40 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Wolfenring
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01/03/21 07:03 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Dexai
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01/03/21 12:14 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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mrfuji3
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01/03/21 04:12 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Pandemonica
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01/03/21 04:43 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Innateagle
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01/03/21 12:23 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Dexai
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01/03/21 04:29 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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01/03/21 04:33 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Dexai
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01/03/21 08:03 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Maximuuus
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01/03/21 07:17 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Niara
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01/03/21 10:17 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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02/03/21 06:54 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Arkhan
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03/03/21 02:52 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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grysqrl
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03/03/21 07:04 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Grudgebearer
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15/03/21 12:39 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Elessaria666
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16/03/21 09:23 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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13/03/21 07:14 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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GristlyKnuckle
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15/03/21 12:07 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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15/03/21 02:19 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Dexai
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15/03/21 11:14 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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crashdaddy
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15/03/21 11:25 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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mrfuji3
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15/03/21 04:29 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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15/03/21 04:54 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Elessaria666
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16/03/21 09:29 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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UnknownEvil
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15/03/21 11:59 AM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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JDCrenton
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15/03/21 04:35 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Saberem
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16/03/21 07:00 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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16/03/21 08:11 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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mrfuji3
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16/03/21 09:15 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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16/03/21 09:34 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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GristlyKnuckle
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16/03/21 09:44 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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GristlyKnuckle
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16/03/21 09:52 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Saberem
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16/03/21 09:28 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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16/03/21 09:56 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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GristlyKnuckle
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16/03/21 10:02 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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mrfuji3
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16/03/21 10:25 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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16/03/21 10:38 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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GristlyKnuckle
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16/03/21 10:59 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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16/03/21 11:06 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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SerraSerra
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15/04/21 09:44 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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Saberem
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15/04/21 08:51 PM
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Re: please the truth, dice result really random
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DragonSnooz
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15/04/21 09:52 PM
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