Nope. You are ignoring a thing called SPELLS!!!
2x hp bloat = 50% spell effectiveness in a edition that already DESTROYED almost all spells.
I'm not ignoring spells. Spells with attack rolls are now easier to hit (reduced goblin AC and benefits from backstab/high ground advantage) to compensate for the lowered relative damage.
Yes, leveled damage-dealing spells against enemy saving throws are less powerful, but this would again be fixed by reducing goblin saving throws. Magic missile is the only spell that cannot be fixed to correct for enemy HP buff (without just straight out increasing its damage).
Finally, you might argue that Casters still have to spend a spell slot for reduced damage whereas fighters/etc don't. This is addressed by the fact that you can rest freely in BG3. Heck, you're even punished if you don't rest as often as possible, so you might as well spend all your slots in every fight. Spell slots in BG3 are less valuable.
If HP bloat becomes a thing for enemies other than goblins and/or limitations are placed on resting, then I'll be right there with you. Otherwise, I think the weakening of damage-dealing low-level spells on a single enemy type is not that significant, at least not compared to the similar reductions
10-15 is a major change on aggregate when they should have 7 as you say, and that's not a couple HP. The beefiest possible goblin should have 12, you're rolling a 2d6, so you should also see goblins with like 2-5 health, which you NEVER see. The complete skewing of variance AND the average is the problem, plus of course, the max HP being too high.
Why should goblins have 7hp? DMs in tabletop homebrew monsters all the time. Why can't Larian have homebrewed goblins?
