Launch: Oct 6, 2020 Patch 2: Oct 27, 2020 (3 weeks after Patch 1=Launch) -- Bug fixes & cinematic tweaks, "75% of you stood with Tieflings...Good outweighs evil." Nothing significant in this patch. Patch 3: Dec 2, 2020 (5 weeks after Patch 2, 8 weeks since launch) -- Pacifism, companion behavior, party auto-jump, 2 short rests, rebalanced cantrips. Patch 4: Feb 25, 2020 (12 weeks after Patch 3, 20 weeks since launch) --Druid Class, loaded dice, target portraits, various dialogue and story changes (unmentioned in Patch notes)
Going forward We need the 5 remaining classes: Barbarian, Bard, Monk, Paladin, Sorcerer. These classes should be easier than the Druid, so let's estimate ~8 weeks each. 5x8=40 weeks We might be getting the remainder of Act 1. Let's say this patch, on its own, will add 15 weeks. We need the 2-4(?) remaining companions. These can probably be released as patches between and/or with the above patches. Let's be a bit generous and add another 10 weeks for extra miscellaneous stuff to be added, another 10 weeks for final testing and polishing, and then another 10 weeks for delays due to flooding.
40+15+10+10+10=85 weeks from Feb 25 Release: October 13, 2022 Total Time in EA: slightly over 2 years
Patch 5: ...waiting (currently 8.5 weeks after Patch 4, 28.5 weeks since launch) According to my estimate, we are behind schedule for adding a new class. But if the next patch comes in the next 6 weeks and includes the remainder of Act 1 and/or 2 classes, then we'll still be on schedule.