Alright the Dror fight has been the toughest so far (for non Min/Max) I felt a first time player might start the fight from the conversation so I did that everytime. (Keep in mind, I am trying to recreate what a first time player would attempt. So Magic Missile and Shatter are not being utilized.)
At level 3 I failed twice and chose to see how level 4 would do. It had been ridiculously hard (the streaky dice are unforgiving here, nothing like two rounds of misses for your party...), I don't think the AI registers Mage Armor as I could not lean on it at all in the fight to protect Tav.
So I took a detour and got to level 4, Tav is now +2 Dex, Int, & Con.
I won the fight at level 4 by leaning heavily on Astarion, Wyll, and Shadowheart. Tav's biggest contribution was picking up Wyll when he went down. As soon as Tav got Flaming sphere on the scene, her concentration was broken. I also got a grenade from killing the goblins in the nearby room and it helped alleviate the bad start the fight can have.
It's apparent with how streaky the original dice are that if you don't have a +4 to your core stat... good luck getting that hit. It's not like the enemies have high AC in this fight, the first two attempts my party streaked so low to open the fight.