Yes, I do find the doomsday prophecies very tiresome. Most people can already tell that this game will be a success. The question is how big is gonna be. And it deserves criticism of course, why it needs it, that's the point of the EA. But still, acting like BG3 won't be a successful entry for both Larian and DnD games, is just not realistic.
Don't know what "most people" mean, but the state of the game for 4 years of development definitely isn't good. It still only has 1 act, lacks half the classes, a proper reaction system, day/night cycles and still doesn't play like 5e D&D. On GoG it has a score of 3.8/5, or 7.6 which in my view is a disaster for a game with this legacy. And most of the criticism in the reviews is the gameplay and comparisons do DOS, which the developers still insist in not addressing.
We have no idea how much of the game is done. Early Access will only contain the First Act, as previously stated. Day/night cycle was never promised, you are just expecting it for some reason (as if it were some crucially important element and not a vanity item). The game is missing Barbarian, Bard, Monk and Paladin. How is that half of the classes? For me personally, this game feels to closest ever to playing DnD on my pc, so that's your personal feeling probably and not an objective truth about the game. On that tired troll argument that "this is just DO in BG skin", with every update BG3 becomes more and more uniquely new and fresh as a title. If you don't want to see that, that's your choice.
