Ketheric was turned before the first raid, I think that's the betrayal that Halsin alludes to but also there are correspondences with Ketheric upbraiding his second in command (forget her name) for her failure.
Whatever grievance Ketheric had, I think their might be a Roa angle, his glaive is called regret right, either regret for killing his friend or for possibly causing whatever caused Thorm's fall.
Without any concrete date the occurrances of the Outpost foundation/battle are up in the air, what we do know is that they see the petrified Drow, putting the events likely before most of the Dark Justiciar business. We also know that there were no survivors, because they sealed off the route to the temple and then made a last charge against the Drow. One wounded cleric was left on top of the gate to let them back in or seal it forever. It was sealed forever.
I think you're probably on track for the village but I see no reason not to believe that the Absolute already know where the forge was and have been sending out raiding parties from there.
What makes you believe that the village wasn't where all the gnomes were to begin with? Why does it have to be more complicated than that?
Last edited by Sozz; 04/12/21 12:42 AM.