Larian Studios Forums Baldur's Gate III Baldur's Gate III - Suggestions & Feedback Karmic Dice Enabled makes Enemies hit too much

Huh. Interesting. As OP notes, they "only" get 150 rolls for each AC, so there's some uncertainty.

Specifically, there seem to be 3 conclusions:
1.) Karmic Dice result in an average roll of ~12.5, higher than the expected roll of 10.5. This is fairly significant, as there are ~650 rolls in each category (Karmic vs non-Karmic) = small uncertainty.
2.) Karmic Dice result in more crits. This also seems significant; in every AC category, Karmic Dice crit more often than non-Karmic Dice
3.) Karmic Dice result in more crits against higher-AC characters.

However, there are some issues with the 3rd conclusion.
1.) Both "AC 23, Karmic" and "AC 23, Non-Karmic" roll sets show anomalously high crit chances.
- For AC 15-21, the Karmic Dice crit chance is 7-10%, but the AC 23 rate jumps up to 15%
- For AC 15-21, the non-Karmic Dice crit chance is 2-3%, but the AC 23 rate jumps up to 8.5%.
Both Karmic and Non-Karmic sets show a jump of ~6%, indicating it's not necessarily true that Karmic Dice alone result in being crit more often at higher AC values.

2.) With only ~150 rolls in each section, the # of instances of any single result is much less significant. A chi-squared test rule of thumb is the expected occurrence of each result should be greater than 5, and 150/20=7.5 which is approaching that limit. The expected 7.5 rolls could easily randomly vary to 10 or even 15.

Edit: Also, theoretically any roll bonuses should be applied to PCs & companions, so you'll roll higher against enemies.