$200 Million so far with a $150 Million budget - which vastly exceeded expectations.
Nay. that's a big flop. General rule of thumb is to double production budget to account for marketing - the more expensive the film, the more cash will be spend to sell it. So the film would need to make more or less $300m to break even.
For example Blade Runner 2049 costed similar amount to produce (&155 million), it made $240 million worldwide, and greatly underperformed - it was reported it would need to make about $400million to break even.
Not all of the money the movie will make will come back to studio who makes the film. Rule of the thumb is to count 1/2 of domestic gross and 1/3 of worldwide gross.