Based on interviews with Swen, or as I like to call them, Sventerviews, DOS1 sold around 2.5M, DOS2 sold around 3x that amount over its lifetime, so 7.5M. I think we could easily see BG3 hit those numbers by the end of the month at best, and by the end of the year at worst.
Now I don�t think BG3 will hit 3x the numbers of DOS2. I don�t think the market for this game is that big. But I do think it could easily hit a lifetime of 2x DOS2, or around 15M. This game is hitting around 6M in sales in its first two weeks, but that�s also including EA. Assuming diminishing returns as time goes on, I think 15M is the right lifetime Steam estimate, or around 900M USD in revenue.
