Originally Posted by Dall
Nope, karmic dice are off. Bedides, most people say it doesn't actually matter because they see no difference. For me, the number of nat 1's out weighs any other number I have ever rolled. Is it because of the difficulty level that the dice are skewed so badly? I mean, it's completely horrible.

example:

Number of Nat 1's rolled: 57
Number of 2's rolled: 7
Number of 3's rolled: 6
Number of 4's rolled: 8
Number of 5's rolled: 6
Number of 6's rolled: 7
Number of 7's rolled: 8
Number of 8's rolled: 8
~
Number of 20's rolled: 36

So let's do some statistical analysis here, assuming that these are actual values you recorded during a PT and not a hyperbolic number.

Let's frame this as a Bernoulli trial, where a "success" is defined as getting a nat 20 in one instance, and a nat 1 in the other. Given that N=107, we would assume that each outcome should happen five or six times (for simplicity's sake), thus, for a nat 20 or for a nat 1, there should be k = 5 or k = 6 successes, to equal the expected odds of 1/20 ([1/20] * 107 = roughly 5.3).

Instead, for the nat 1, we have 57/107= 0.53; the ratio between expected and observed is 10.6(!!!). For the nat 20, we have 8/107- for a ratio of 1.14.

We can safely conclude that this game is likely not using a fair die in that case, if these are actual values from an actual PT.

Last edited by autistichalsin; 01/03/24 12:06 PM.