For me, since the last hotfix rolled in, the situation has normalized. I mean, the dice are of course still loaded against me, but the ratio of critical misses to hits seems to be about normal now, and I started having critical successes at skill rolls again, something I sorely missed.
Since this really changed for me right after the hotfix was installed, I assumed Larian changed or fixed something. There is of course always the possibility that I have been extremely unlucky.