Larian Studios Forums Baldur's Gate III Baldur's Gate III - Story & Character Discussion Balder's Gate 3 Jeopardy

So keep in mind these are all independent, fair rolls. We can pick them at any random order and check their distribution.

Let's just use the first bullet attacks in each savescumm.

Only one wiff, the other 16 are 12 or more, the min required to hit my AC 21 for them.




Google, With 17 d20 rolls, what are the odds 16 are 12 or more?




AI Overview

The probability depends slightly on whether you mean exactly 16 or at least 16 of the rolls are 12 or more:
• Exactly 16 rolls: 0.002644% (about a 1 in 37,826 chance)
• At least 16 rolls (16 or all 17): 0.002771% (about a 1 in 36,090 chance)