Let's just look at the second bullet attack, when the first didn't quite down me. There aren't many, but they are:
15
14
20
18
20
13
Again, these are the second bullet rolls when the first does not down me. There are only 6 such rolls, but all are hits. Can we glean any statistical certainty?
What are the odds of getting 13 or more on 6 d20 rolls?
2. Getting a 13 or higher on all 6 rolls
This is what happens if you need every single die to beat the target number.
• Percent Chance: 0.41%
• Dice Odds: Roughly 243 to 1 against it happening.
• The Math: (0.40)⁶ = 0.004096
It would actually be slightly lower as they just need a 12, or even 10 as some of these I now have acid or something applied from bullet attack #1, to drop my AC by 2. Worst case, which this is not, would be 1 in 2^^6 = 64.
Last edited by Shadowbart; 4 hours ago.