Originally Posted by Ellezard
Tactician are not known for their RNG. They are known for their analysis and predictions to keep risks to the minimum while maximizing the reward. The famous story of Zhuge Liang playing his gupin in the Empty Fort strategy and force an enemy to retreat using his fame as a tool is still told everywhere as what a tactician is truly like. He didn't go up there with a "1% chance to terrify" gupin.


Sure, he totally knew, that he would 100% succeed. It was more likely, that he was pretty sure, that it would work, but an uncertainty remained. It was a risk he took, winning the risk made him a hero, if the enemies would have been harder to impress, he would have ended as a fool. Because the difference between a hero and a fool is often just this, if a risky plan failed or not.

Predicting means, to predict how likely it will happen, that you succeed, you don't need to predict, if you already know, it will succeed.

That what was buffing and debuffing was about in D:OS1, increasing the chance of success and therefore limiting the chance of failure. It also made loremaster more important, because you had to check for their Body Building and Willpower.