Also should be pointed out, publishers don't publish games to 'break even' or 'make a little profit'. They want to make the moolah. And, they certainly don't want to wait 5-10 years when the game is in the bargain bin to see a return. L0L
As for BG3, it'll sell. Too many factors in its favor. BG's legendary status, Larian';s own reputation, 5e dnd's popularity, the supra hype and media fawning, etc., etc.
Selling the game won't be the issue. Making a sizeable enough profit to make the investiment worthwhile is the key.
Have little doubt it'll make some profit but the key is how much and how much needed to make the time, # of employees, and everything else worth it to Larian and WOTC.
